The wisest among us-those few who foresaw this imminent economic collapse-avoided direct calamity, but were nevertheless caught up in the resulting political and economic repercussions. And they are considered the "fortunate".
How about the other 99% of people who didn't notice this bubble as it was happening? For them, the damages range from inconvenient-not eating out quite as often, to the devastating-losing their home or retirement savings.
(On my wall is a photograph taken by a local artist. It is of an abandoned, boarded up home that sits across the street from an abandoned school built in 1992.)
There is much to realize about the interplay between different bubbles that occur in society. To better understand them, we need to examine these relationships as well as decipher what factors allow bubbles to wreak havoc as they do. Bubbles are dangerous and a destructive phenomena-but only potentially, and it depends on the type of societal bubble we are addressing.
There are a thousand versions of the same story across America today of people who have been shocked, horrified, flabbergasted, and left speechless; so many seemingly blind-sided by today's crisis. Countless Americans simply stepped on the social track and were, in a sense, victimized for taking what was considered smart, advisable action: buying more then they could reasonably afford or lend out more than could reasonably be paid back. The destruction is obvious-shown in the photograph right beside me.
In many examples this kind of social "follow the leader" behavior wouldn't be so harmful. This kind of "American Mob" mentality happens all the time with fads like Tickle-Me Elmo and pop sensations like the latest American Idol winner. In these minor, more benign examples, people are generally responsible and do not put themselves into harms way while riding the wave of popular trend.
It's not so trivial, however, when it is people's livelihoods that are at stake. In the late 90's, American's "followed the leader" toward an over-investment in dotcom stocks. Many people lost money. Until last year, a bolder, more pervasive example of this mentality helped to create a system making it popular to make bad home investments. This inflated housing market was a statement about the excess and mismanagement of a nation's, bank's, and citizen's capital. The Federal Reserve Bank gave away money to banks at incredibly low interest rates, so the banks lent irresponsibly, which led to the citizens borrowing recklessly. All the while, the government, through its various offices and agencies, threw its enormous weight behind the entire process. It was an entire culture gone astray.
Both the dotcom and the housing bubbles were examples of the American Mob putting itself behind the financial 8-ball. Though many variables exist between them, the key variable is the scope of the housing bubble compared to that of the dotcom bubble and the notable contribution government had in helping make it possible. &n bsp;
Concurrently, there exists a population bubble.
The Baby Boomers, resulting from the returning soldiers from WWII, have always created a wake in their path. The music they grew up with-The Beatles, Dylan-will always be regarded as "the greatest" partially because of the Boomer's popular weight. Today they are retiring and we are inundated with what appeals to their aging concerns, i.e. Viagra.
But their numbers create more than mere culture bias and marketing focus. They overburden social programs like Social Security which is doomed to fail because of this population bubble. We face real, large difficulties because of socialized elder care and the population inequality the Baby Boomers represent. Whether pensions, Social Security, Medicare, and other retirement/aging expenses, this population bubble is costly, indeed. Unfunded liabilities as those just mentioned are in the trillions and no answer is in sight.
By themselves, the two bubbles described (the housing bubble and Baby Boomers) are unique and stand alone in their source and structure. The housing bubble was a cultural err, a nation wrapped up in a momentous surge. It was a societal binge that every sector drank up. Today's result is a hangover of massive lost capital, jobs, and a markedly reduced level of excess for Americans to enjoy. The Baby Boomers, on the other hand, are a byproduct of WWII. They are a demanding pull on society's resources. Now as they become most expensive and least productive, the toll becomes very heavy.
How do the two bubbles relate? In 2008, these two bubbles collided. On the eve of the Baby Boomer's retirements, a time when a disproportionate amount of society's resources needed to be available for their (the Boomer's) disposal, our capital dried up. As well, whose retirements were most effected by the Dow plummet? Given their relative clout and current positions, we were witness to a panicked legislative effort referred to as the "Bail-outs". Two bubbles intersected, demanding legislation lest the Boomer's 401Ks be sunk.
The destruction of these bubbles becomes more so when realizing their lingering effects on future generations. With our nation's recent trend of overconsumption, we all are going to suffer a little-that makes sense. The problem is that we are not letting ourselves feel the sting that we should. Rather, we are immaturely holding off the inevitable, hastily patching up this flawed system with financial support from those who didn't do any over-consuming-future tax payers. This is immoral. Younger generations, already stuck with the bill for the weighty Boomer's retirement in the form of Social Security and Medicare, are now stuck paying to prop up financial institutions to save the Boomer's retirement accounts. How much we are going to have to pay for their lives-both now and indefinitely!
(WWII was obviously horrible enough. Perhaps this latest, expensive reaction to the current economic crash is just a continuation of the destructiveness of war?)
And by the way, this is a side effect of the Baby Boomer's numbers and influence rather than a statement about their intent. Just as when too many of one party is in power (no checks and balances equals corruption), so too, may be the unabashed influence of one over-populous generation. In other words, any generation would probably be as reactive and proactive.
This brings to light the necessity to review governmental policy and its impact.
Like the consumer fads of Tickle-Me Elmo mentioned earlier, population bubbles, too, might be merely benign. Hearing about the "good 'ole days" and watching Viagra ads is annoying at worst. But we reside in an economic system including elements of forced redistribution of wealth-each according to his need. Because of this, we have our society exposed to the risk of a more populous generation coming along and "sinking the ship". As well, the political pressure a more populous generation has will potentially sway current public disbursements of funds to themselves.
Today, we are seeing this two-fold concern occur. 1. Economic policies that require future generations to pay for current ones like Social Security and Medicare are becoming overburdened. 2. We just saw a generation of people benefitting themselves at other taxpayers' expense with the recent string of bailouts. This is an example of the destructive power of population bubbles in a state with socialized policies.
This is happening in tandem with the mistaken idea that increased government can help what increased government assisted-the enhancement of the housing bubble. We are seeing the unintended consequences of both intergenerational forced redistribution and redistribution devoted to what the government deems "appropriate"-in this latest case, housing.
This is, in large part, the result of a system that opened the door to this kind of economic abuse not a result of a population bubble or a bubble of consumer activity. Is not the problem our system?-a system waiting for any overpowering generation or gross mal-investment to come along and "sink the ship"? The idea is to have a system free from this potential.
This idea isn't novel.
I'll paraphrase Thomas Jefferson in saying that we have laws and government in our country because humans aren't angels. Laws are there to protect us from our less-than-angelic tendencies. So why do we use government to promote, or at least, make possible these tendencies to flourish? Why did we set ourselves up for problems with such policies like Social Security in the first place? Why do we let government have a role in lending and homeownership promotion? That is not the American government's proper role. Americans courageously fought for freedom. These harmful policies are examples of Americans cowardly looking for answers-advocating legal theft via taxation to remedy people's fear of not being taken care of or not getting what they feel entitled to or for politicians to buy votes.
233 yrs ago, the founding of this country was built with these tendencies in mind. When we lose that respect for constitutional principles, if we let fear of insecurity tempt us into enacting these forced money movements, then this ignoring of the Constitution will come back to haunt us. We will reap what we sow.
We are.
What can we learn? First, do not look at events in isolation. Broaden your view to see other factors at play. Indeed, look back at the source of the boomers-WWII, and its main source-The Great Depression, which was a bursting bubble that led to the birth of Social Security. We come full circle. The Great Depression and the Baby Boomers' presence playing a significant hand in the today's crisis helps to reduce aim at any current group of people as being solely responsible.
Second, people are not angels-they will take advantage of opportunities for their own security. The mistake made in creating social policies of economics in the name of helping its citizens is that these policies will inevitably be abused by groups looking to help themselves and/or by a society that has the capability of erring with foolish investments. Let us not multiply these traits with government, but absorb and minimize their potential with a focus on freedom. We could use government to absorb the shock of this, like Europe tries, but that comes with the price of steep amorality-the theft of freedom.
Bubbles, as these, seem to be an occurrence and product of humanity's expansion into new realms of challenge (war) and opportunity (ecommerce). So to lessen the impact of these bubbles by shaping our society (or, perhaps, a lack of defined shape) in such a way as to minimize the effects of these seemingly inevitable events ought to be our goal. The lack of control the Constitution asserts over American's lives gives us the best blueprint to absorb and evolve with each new shock that comes out way. With regulations to "protect" we become rigid and everyone becomes inescapably and unnecessarily involved in other's bad decisions and those decision's consequences.
While there will always be fads and poor investments, only government intervention had, in these latest events, the authority to make "bad" become "tragic". Though Freedom cannot rid us of swarming to the malls for a Tickle-me Elmo or to the dotcom stocks, it reduces the sting when this tendency becomes harmful.
Though government may arguably have started or exaggerated these bubbles, how else are we to handle them than with help from government? Look for liberty solutions to these problems. More than just find the problem, find the answer for how to use freedom to save the country as we used it to found it. Instead of a stimulus package, how about shrink government and decrease taxes? There is a stimulus.
Categories: Finance, Domestic Policy, US Constitution, Ethics, Philosophy, Social Issues, Socialism, Economy, Monetary Policy Tags: Brandon Ferdig, Minneapolis Expression,
No comments yet.
You must be logged in to post comments. [Become a member]
|